Some, like the Jaycees, the Rotary Club, the Kiwanis, and the Lions, were more explicitly business-oriented others, like the Odd Fellows, were more invested in providing care for their members while the Black Elks, Black Moose, and dozens of others developed similarly robust organizations segregated from their white counterparts.
Putnam, “represented a reaction against the individualism and anomie of this era of rapid social change, asylum from a disordered and uncertain world.” Many provided “material benefits” like life and health insurance, as well as “social solidarity and ritual” by 1910, more than one-third of adult males over the age of 19 were a member of at least one. “Fraternal organizations,” writes historian Robert D.
The Elks and similar fraternal organizations were part of a broad trend of “joining” and civic engagement that started in the 1880s, dropped off during the Great Depression, and surged following World War II. “But then I take people here and they’re like, ‘Do I have one of these in my neighborhood?’” “I tell people that I’m part of the Elks and they give me funny looks,” Ben Braden, who sits on the Ballard Elks’ executive committee, told me. Each of those lodges has a story of where that growth is coming from, yet the impulse remains constant: seeking connections, with people who are not necessarily like them, in dusty old buildings with $2 drafts and animal heads hanging over the doorway. Membership is exploding in San Francisco, the Florida Keys, North Carolina, and dozens of other areas, including the bedroom communities of New Jersey, where Eli Manning was just voted to membership. Average member age is down from 69 to 61. In Ballard, the Elks are a salve for very contemporary and Seattle-specific syndromes: For transplants, it’s an antidote to the “ Seattle Freeze,” the term for the difficulty non-natives face in making friends or finding dates for natives, it’s a retreat from the Amazon-incited condo-ization of the city as a whole and Ballard in particular.īut it’s also part of a national phenomenon: For the first time in 35 years, the Elks are growing. Fraternal organizations have always met specific cultural needs - providing a space for men as women entered the public sphere at the turn of the 19th century, and a return to the brotherhood of military service after both world wars. Many Ballard Elks were first drawn to the beach parking and cheap drinks, but have found that their investment in the lodge, and the community that forms around it, has transformed into something more.
The lodge’s median age, 52, is the lowest in the country - and a figure that, if current trends hold, will only continue to fall. But the mother of two is a regular fixture at the lodge, which she joined about four years ago, so that “my kids would have somewhere to pee when we were at the beach.” That beach, right on the Puget Sound - and the bar that extends above it - is how the vast majority of the new members at the Ballard Elks found out about the lodge, which is one of the fastest-growing in America, mushrooming from around 800 members in 2012 to over 1,200 today. The woman is wearing an oversized faux fur vest and heeled suede boots, which is to say she’s dressed for neither the Elks nor Seattle. “And we’re trying to convince the club to do a fundraiser so we can go around and do to other clubs what we’ve done here.” Specifically: Make the Elks more appealing, more vital, maybe even cool - while still preserving its ties to both its old Seattle neighborhood and the longtime members who remain its core. “The guy I’m seeing, he’s a member too,” she continues, stuffing her phone into her Louis Vuitton purse. We’re in the women’s bathroom of the Ballard Elks Club, decorated with white wicker furniture and a tray of drugstore lotions and hairspray. The probability of Alex’s scoring a point is the sum of the probabilities of 1, 3, and 5 showing up therefore, the probability is P(1) + P(3) + P(5) = 1/21 + 3/21 + 5/21 = 9/21 = 3/7.“We’re like a cult,” a tan, freckled, ambiguously aged woman tells me, the dregs of Coors Light swishing in the bottom of her plastic cup. Since the sum of the probabilities of the numbers showing up is 1, we can create the equation: Thus, the probability of 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 showing up is 2x, 3x, 4x, 5x and 6x, respectively. We can let x = the probability of 1 showing up. Let the probability of getting \(1\) is \(\frac\) What is the probability of Alex scoring a point at any single roll? The rules of the games are such that for every time an odd number shows up, Alex scores a point, otherwise the point goes to Sam. Sam, being the evil one, loaded the dice in such a way that the probability of getting any number n is n times the probability of showing up of 1 when the dice is rolled.
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